Study on China’s Population Prediction Based on GA-BP and Metabolic Model

摘要：

This paper established the GA-BP model by the BP neural network improved by GA, and China population prediction model based on GA-BP and metabolic model was also constructed by the introduction of metabolic model. Finally, by the use of yearly net value-added of 1980-1999 and through software programming in MATLAB6.5, yearly population size of 2000-2007 was predicted and compared with the values predicted by other methods. The results indicate that the population prediction model based on GA-BP and metabolic model is an effective method of population prediction.

关键词： GA-BP metabolic model population prediction

作者: Wang Shizhong Liu Weidong Cao Zhenyu

作者单位: College of Southeast Land Management, Zhejiang University, P.R.C., China, 310029 Zhejiang University College of Southeast Land Management, Zhejiang University, P.R.C., China, 310029 Zhejiang University of Technology, P.R.C., China, 310014

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2009 International Institute of Applied Statistics Studies(2009 国际应用统计学术研讨会)

会议地点: 青岛

会议语种:英文

页码: 1-6

在线出版日期: 2009-07-25（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）