Time-varying Effect of Stochastic Factors on Flood Safety of Dams and Their Quantitative Methods

摘要：

The time-varying characteristics of various stochastic factors during the dam ageing as well as their effects on flood safety were analyzed. With regard to the following 3 kinds of stochastic factors during the long-term operation of dams: settlement of dam top, deposition of sediment and failure of flood releasing gates, the quantitative evaluation methods, that is, at-tenuation function approach, comprehensive analysis approach and Bayesian approach, were put for-ward.

关键词： Time-varying effect attenuation function bayesian approach stochastic mathe-matical model of flood releasing for reservoirs quantitative evaluation methods

作者: Fan Ziwu Jiang Shuhai Li Yunhui

作者单位: Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute & State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Nanjing 210029, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: International Conference on Dam Safety Management(2008水库大坝安全管理国际研讨会)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 723-728

在线出版日期: 2008-10-22（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）