DROUGHT AND WATER SUPPLY RELIABILITY OF EAST RIVER (DONGJIANG) BASIN IN SOUTH CHINA
Using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the precipitation records from 1952 to 2000, the drought situation over the East River basin in southern China was analyzed.Different drought categories were then selected to represent different drought conditions. The Conditional Reliability Module (CRM) in the Water Right Analysis Package (WRAP) was used to investigate water supply reliability over the East River basin under several supply scenarios, which were created based on different SPI values and different initial reservoir storage levels. The result of the study revealed that reservoir storage plays a crucial role in maintaining the water supply security. To ensure an acceptable reliability of water supply in the region, the Xinfengjiang Reservoir, which is the biggest reservoir in the East River basin, should keep more than 60% of its conservative storage capacity at the beginning of the dry season of the basin, i.e. October.
water supply SPI WRAP reliability East River
Runrun Zhang Ji Chen Guangbai Cui
Hohai University, Nanjing Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong Hohai University, Nanjing
国际会议
第16届亚太地区国际水利学大会暨第3届水工水力学国际研讨会(16th IAHR-APD Congress and 3rd Symoposium of IAHR-ISHS)
南京
英文
296-300
2008-10-20(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)