MULTI-OBJECTIVE RISK ASSESSMENT ON WATER RESOURCES OPTIMAL ALLOCATION
Based on clarifying the meaning of risk in water resources allocation and risk factors that may affect the allocation, some main risk factors are identified. A risk analysis model of multi-objective water resources allocation is proposed. The method of risk evaluation in water resources allocation is also put forward based on the stochastic simulation technology. Case study on the middle and lower reaches of the Hanjiang River indicates that the implementation of the project of diversion water from Changjiang River to Hanjiang River could obviously increase the comprehensive benefit during the low water year and median flow year and decrease the risk of disadvantage effects such as water deficit caused by the middle route project of South-to-North water diversion.
water resources optimal allocation multi-objective risk assessment stochastic simulation technology the middle route project of South-to-North water diversion the middle and lower reaches of Hanjiang River
Wenquan Gu Dongguo Shao Xianfeng Huang Tao Dai
State Key Laboratory of Water Resource & Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan University, Wnhan 430 No.8, DongHu South Road, Wuhan, Hubei province China College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing China
国际会议
第16届亚太地区国际水利学大会暨第3届水工水力学国际研讨会(16th IAHR-APD Congress and 3rd Symoposium of IAHR-ISHS)
南京
英文
361-366
2008-10-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）