Grey-periodic Eztensional Combinatorial Model and Its Application in Power Load Forecasting

摘要：

Power load possesses dual property of increase and periodic fluctuation simultaneously. This has decided the load change displaying the complicated non-linearity combination characteristic. So, the result that the average forecast model forecasts is not sometimes ideal. In order to increasing the accuracy of load forecast, the gray periodic extensional combinatorial model is put forward. It has given consideration to power load increase and periodic fluctuation at the same time. The example has verified that the model increases the forecasting accuracy obviously.

关键词： Gray Forecast Gray Periodic Eztensional Combinatorial Model Electric Power Load Forecast GM (1,1) Model

作者: DING Chao REN Feng LU Gang

作者单位: School of Management and Engineering, Shijiazhuang University of Economics, Shijiazhuang,P.R.China, Dept.of Economic Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, P.R.China, 071003

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2008年国际应用统计学术研讨会(2008 International Institute of Applied Statistics Studies)

会议地点: 烟台

会议语种:英文

页码: 1-5

在线出版日期: 2008-08-14（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）