Study on dynamic models of Chinese Social Security System level based on Grey System Forecasting
There are grey systems forecasting studies of Chinese Social Security dynamic level. Comparatively, domestic studies dig deeper on same topic. In this paper, the method of grey system theories is used to analyze the Chinese Social Security dynamic level. With the dynamic development process of Chinese Social Security System is the main line of quantitative researching, taking the different pure time-series social security level as the aim of controlling and with alternative economic variable as the major control parameters in order to construct the dynamic forecast theoretical models, make empirical research about Chinese social security level as well as forecast the dynamic relationships within the alternative economic variable. This method effectively solves the problems of the controlling variable of social security level. The practicability of method has been verified by calculations. The results will be benefit to the training program for forecasting Chinese Social Security dynamic level, adjusting and reforming of present relevant policy-systems.
Social Security Level Model Forecasting Grey System
DUAN Jie LIN Wei
Northwestern Polytechnic University, Xian Shanxi, P.R.China 710072
国际会议
2008年国际应用统计学术研讨会(2008 International Institute of Applied Statistics Studies)
烟台
英文
1-6
2008-08-14(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)