A Trend Regression to Economy Indicates Forecasting within Nezt Two Years in Xinjiang Autonomy Region
This paper applied newly put forwarded methods to forecast 11 economies indicate of the following two years in Xinjiang autonomy region. The methods improved previous time series forecasting methods in which only self-extension is done and multiple factors (variables) are not taken into account. Also, it got over the weakness of forecasting by general regression analysis that relies on simultaneous independent variables. The veracity of forecasting of the indicators in Xinjiang would be confirmed by the results of economy running.
Economy Forecast Time Series Forward-Shifting Regression Trend Regression Per Capita GDP
SHEN Jun ZHANG Fan
College of Politics and Law, Jimei University, Xiamen, Fujian 361021 College of Foreign Language, Jimei University, Xiamen, Fujian 361021
国际会议
2008年国际应用统计学术研讨会(2008 International Institute of Applied Statistics Studies)
烟台
英文
1-6
2008-08-14（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）