General Equilibrium Analysis of Mid-long Term Energy Intensity Changing Trend in China

摘要：

This study builds a dynamic computable general equilibrium model of 22 sectors based on 2002 China input-output table, and forecasts the changing trend of energy intensity by 2030 in China. In this model, capital accumulation is endogenous and household is divided into rural household and urban household. Then according to the scenario setting, the impacts of industrial technology upgrading, energy efficiency improving, and material recycling rate improving on energy intensity are simulated. Finally, this paper gives some policy suggestion.

关键词： Technology Progress Energy Intensity CGE Model

作者: LI Aijun

作者单位: Energy & Power Engineering School, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, P.R.China, 430074

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2008年国际应用统计学术研讨会(2008 International Institute of Applied Statistics Studies)

会议地点: 烟台

会议语种:英文

页码: 1-6

在线出版日期: 2008-08-14（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）