Modeling the Dynamics of Urban Growth Using Multinomial Logistic Regression:A Case Study of Jiayu County,Hubei Province,China
Urban growth modeling,one of the most important aspects of land use and land cover change study,has attracted substantial attention because it helps to comprehend the mechanisms of land use change thus helps relevant policies made.This study applied multinomial logistic regression to model urban growth in the Jiayu county of Hubei province,China to discover the relationship between urban growth and the driving forces of which biophysical and socialeconomic factors are selected as independent variables.This type of regression is similar to binary logistic regression,but it is more general because the dependent variable is not restricted to two categories,as those previous studies did.The multinomial one can simulate the process of multiple land use competition between urban land,bare land,cultivated land and orchard land.Taking the land use type of Urban as reference category,parameters could be estimated with odds ratio.A probability map is generated from the model to predict where urban growth will occur as a result of the computation.
GIS modeling urban growth multinomial logistic regression land use competition
Nong Yu Du Qingyun Wang Kun Miao Lei Zhang Weiwei
School of Resource and Environmental Science,Wuhan University,129 Luoyu Road,Wuhan 430079,P.R.China; College of Informatics and Software Technology,South China Agriculture University,Guangzhou 510642,P
国际会议
第16届国际地理信息科学与技术大会(16th International Conference on GeoInformatics and the Joint Conference)
广州
英文
2008-06-28（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）