BUDEM:an urban growth simulation model using CA for Beijing metropolitan area
It is in great need of identifying the future urban form of Beijing,which faces challenges of rapid growth in urban development projects implemented in Beijing.We develop Beijing Urban Developing Model (BUDEM in short) to support urban planning and corresponding policies evaluation.BUDEM is the spatio-temporal dynamic model for simulating urban growth in Beijing metropolitan area,using cellular automata (CA) and Multi-agent system (MAS) approaches.In this phase,the computer simulation using CA in Beijing metropolitan area is conducted,which attempts to provide a premise of urban activities including different kinds of urban development projects for industrial plants,shopping facilities,houses.In the paper,concept model of BUDEM is introduced,which is established basing on prevalent urban growth theories.The method integrating logistic regression and MonoLoop is used to retrieve weights in the transition rule by MCE.After model sensibility analysis,we apply BUDEM into three aspects of urban planning practices:(1) Identifying urban growth mechanism in various historical phases since 1986;(2) Identifying urban growth policies needed to implement desired urban form (BEIJING2020),namely planned urban form;(3) Simulating urban growth scenarios of 2049 (BEIJING2049) basing on the urban form and parameter set of BEIJING2020.
cellular automata policy simulation urban growth simulation logistic regression BUDEM MonoLoop desired urban form
Ying Long Zhenjiang Shen Liqun Du Qizhi Mao Zhanping Gao
Beijing Institute of City Planning,Beijing,China 100045 School of Environment design,Kanazawa University,Kanazawa,Japan 920-1192 School of Architecture,Tsinghua University,Beijing,China 100084 College of Resources Environment and Tourism,Capital Normal University,Beijing,China 100037
国际会议
第16届国际地理信息科学与技术大会(16th International Conference on GeoInformatics and the Joint Conference)
广州
英文
2008-06-28（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）