会议专题

New Features of the International Industrial Division and Its Impact on Chinas Economy

This article studies the new features of international industrial structural adjustment and transfer, which are driven by the economic globalization and scientific and technological advancement sincethe 1990s. It mainly analyzes the major impacts on Chinas economy by international industrys accelerated transfer and Intra-Product Specialization under the globalization. Based on the theory of Modern Dynamic Comparative Advantage and Vertical Specialization Theory, it uses models and empirical tests and proves that Chinas large trade surplus is mainly the result of Chinas international division status and the structural factors of processing and manufacturing links in the international industrial chain.And in combination with other factors they lead to the high foreign exchange reserves and high liquidity. Regression analysis shows thatChinas exports are mainly pulled by external demands (75%), the Exchange rate has a contribution rate of 20% to trade surplus and that RMB exchange rate adjustment can not change the trade surplus pattern.When facing with the accelerating international industrial transfer, the deepening international intra-products division and the sustained global trade and economic imbalance etc, in order to play for Chinas dynamic comparative advantages, and avoid falling into the trap of comparative advantage, in the short term, the expansion of domestic demands are required as an effective way to control the trade surplus, lower the foreign exchange reserve pressure and reduce the liquidity. China should increase imports and overseas investment. In the long term, from the national strategic view, China needs to speed up the implementation of the new type of internationalization strategy, implement a package of foreign economic and structural policy reforms, improve the status of the international industrial division, and gradually open its capital account with the support of exchange rate policy adjustments, so as to form a new international competitive advantage.

international industrial division vertical specialization Chinas economy

Zhang Jianping

国际会议

竞争与伙伴关系:中国与欧盟经济贸易关系热点问题国际学术研讨会

北京

英文

51-65

2008-04-12(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)