How Oil Price Fluctuation Impact National Economy-Model Establishment and its Application
In order to set up relations between crude oil price fluctuation and the development of national economy scientifically, on the basis of drawing lessons from domestic and foreign experts correlative models, considers the time-lagged feedback of different national economy targets have on oil price fluctuation and other factors, as well as sets up models of the impact oil price fluctuation have on national economy. Then make use of dynamic models of the impact oil price fluctuation have on national economy, to fix relative coefficients in each part of the model, finally put up actual analysis and forecast according to the model obtained, and take measures to avoid the risk of the influence of oil price fluctuation.
crude oil price economic growth model economic security
Gao Jian Dong Xiucheng
School of Management,University of Petroleum (Beijing),P.R.China,102249
国际会议
2006 International Conference on Management Science and Engineering(2006管理科学与工程国际学术研讨会)
武汉
英文
972-977
2006-11-08（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）