Adaptive Logistics Combination Forecasting Model

摘要：

By globalization and informatization of modern logistics,the enterprise has higher requirements for logistics forecasting accuracy.Combination forecasting theory doesnt regulate how to distribute weighting.Based on combination forecasting theory,this paper puts forward an adaptive logistics combination forecasting model which provides punish mechanism aiming at the step change of forecasting accuracy.Tests prove that it is reasonable to determine weighting by bringing time attenuation factor(λ)and punishment mechanism into combination forecasting model.

关键词： logistics combination forecasting model weighting time attenuation factor punishment mechanism

作者: Lu Yujin Chen Hongming

作者单位: School of Managent Changsha University of Science & Technology

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2006 Interntional Conferecne on Management of Logistics and Supply Chain(2006物流与供应链管理国际研讨会)

会议地点: 长沙

会议语种:英文

页码: 50-55

在线出版日期: 2006-09-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）