Study of Application on Verhulst- Markov Chain Combination Forecasting Model

摘要：

Grey model and Markov chain are integrated to forecast the tendency of saturation or sigmoid where the precision testified in the case is much more accurate than that of other methods.Thus,the combination forecasting model applies to predict things concretely combined with highway passenger volume development in Gungdong province.Proved in theory and practice,the forecast results not only are more accurate 、 adaptable、practical but also can help the decision maker with grasping the highway passenger volume development tendency in general and making proper decision.

关键词： grey Verhulst-Markov chain model combination forecasting highway passenger volume

作者: Xiaojing Wang Yucong Hu Xinshan Zhu

作者单位: School of Civil and Transportation EngineeringSouth China University of TechnologyGuangzhou,China The Company of Transportation Consulting Service Centre of Guangdong Province Guangzhou,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2008 IEEE International Conference on Service Operations and Logistics, and Informatics(IEEE/SOLI’2008)(IEEE服务运作、物流与信息年会)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

在线出版日期: 2008-10-12（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）