Two-fold volatility models based on CAPM and estimate of VaR
In this paper, the private risk of enterprise and the common risk which affected by the macroscopic economic situation are taken into account, then a two-fold GARCH model and a two-fold EGARCH model based on CAPM are established An estimate method for VaR is given. The empirical study indicates that the models can fit the return process of financial asset well. Compared with the GARCH model and the EGARCH model, they make higher accuracy of prediction and estimation of VaR.
VaR CAPM model two-fold GARCH model two-fold EGARCH model
Shu-shan LI Zhen-xiang DAI
College of Information Science and Engineering,Shandong University of Science and Technology,Qingdao School of Mathematics and Information Science,Yantai University,264005,Yantai,China
国际会议
2008 International Conference on Risk and Relianility Management(2008风险与可靠性管理国际会议)
北京
英文
106-109
2008-11-10(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)