A Study on Fluctuation and Prediction of Cotton Production in Hebei Province

摘要：

After summarizing relevant documents on the fluctuation of cotton production, this paper takes an empirical research on the fluctuation in cotton yield of Hebei province from 1990 to 2006 by using graphic method and time-trend method. Meanwhile, it predicts the cotton yield of Hebei in the use of Grey model and Grey-Markov model respectively. The results indicate that the fluctuation of cotton yield has fluctuated strongly and Grey-Markov model is more accurate than Grey model.

关键词： Cotton Yield Fluctuation Grey Prediction Markov Chain Prediction

作者: MA Teng ZHAO Xianjun

作者单位: School of Economics and Business,Hebei Agricultural University,P.R.China,071000

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2007 International Conference on Agriculture Engineering(2007年农业工程国际会议)

会议地点: 河北保定

会议语种:英文

页码: 573-579

在线出版日期: 2007-10-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）