Predict Traffic of Vessels Passing through Ship Lock in Three Gorges Dam -Application of Grey System Modeling

摘要：

To solve the complex problems of predicting traffic of vessels passing through ship lock,the gray forecasting model and its application to predict traffic of vessels passing through ship lock are discussed in this paper.The GM (1,1) model is set up according to the gray forecasting theory and the detailed steps of the model are described.The practical implementation of the model was accomplished by a case study in prediction of traffic of vessels passing through ship lock in Three Gorges Dam.Results are checked by the back-check method and show that the model based on grey system theory is feasible and has high reliability.

关键词： Grey System Model Predict Three Gorges Project Ship Lock Traffic of Vessels GM(1,1) Model

作者: LI Wei Wei ZHAO Jian

作者单位: School of Computer Science and Engineering,Chongqing Institute of Technology,P.R.China,400050 Southwester Hydraulic Research Institute For Water Way,Chongqing Jiaotong University,P.R.China,40001

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2007 International Conference on Management Science and Engineering(2007管理科学与工程国际学术会议)

会议地点: 河南焦作

会议语种:英文

页码: 2771-2775

在线出版日期: 2007-08-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）