Application of Comprehensive Risk Evaluation Model in Project Invest Decision

摘要：

The questions of traditional project evaluation method are that profit evaluation and risk evaluation are separate and risk evaluation neglects the risk preference of decision-makers. In order to solve these questions, this paper contacts potential revenue with potential loss and establishes comprehensive risk assessment model in which the risk measurement and project selection are confluent.In the model, the harmfulness of risk is calculated with risk measurement function and speculative value is calculated with Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation. Furthermore, this paper illustrates it with an instance.The instance verifies the validity of the model which can provide effective and feasible gist for the comprehensive evaluation and optimization of projects.

关键词： Risk Preference Invest Decision Speculative Value Comprehensive Risk Evaluation

作者: XIN Chun Hua ZHANG Xing Chen

作者单位: School of Traffic and Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing,P.R Chiua,100044

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2008 International Conference of Management Science and Engineering(2008管理科学与工程国际学术会议)

会议地点: 河南焦作

会议语种:英文

页码: 1186-1190

在线出版日期: 2008-11-01（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）