会议专题

The Application of System Dynamics and CLUE-S Model in Land Use Change Dynamic Simulation: a Case Study in Taips County, Inner Mongolia of China

Modeling land use scenario changes and its potential impacts on the structure and function of the ecosystem and economy in the typical regions are helpful to understanding the interactive mechanism between land use system and ecological system or and economic factors. The CLUE-S model integrated with System Dynamics (SD) model is developed with three land use scenario changes in Taips County of China from 2001 to 2020 simulated in this paper. System Dynamics model can predict the complex system change under the different what-if scenarios, which makes it a good tool and be widely used in different fields of natural science,social science and engineering technology. The simulated results indicate that obvious land use changes will take place in the unused area and farming-pastoral zone of Taips County from 2001 to 2020 with unused land and urban land being the most active land use types.

land use LUCC spatio-temporal patterns CLUE-S System Dynamics model scenario analyses farming-pasturing interlocked areas Taips County

Jinyan Zhan Xiangzheng Deng Qunou Jiang Nana Shi

School of Environmental Sciences, Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875 Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy & Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Re School of Geoscience Environment Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083 School of Environmental Sciences,Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875

国际会议

2007 Conference on Systems Science, Management Science and System Dynamics(第二届系统科学、管理科学与系统动力学国际会议)

上海

英文

2781-2790

2007-10-19(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)