Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Arid Inland River Basin Based on System Dynamics Model, China
Water resources carrying capacity is the important composition of each natural resources carrying capacity during the sustainable development of a county or a district. Water resources shortage has been the main factor limiting the sustainable development because of the fragile ecologic environment and the laggard economic development. Based on the principle and method of system dynamics, this paper sets up system dynamics model of water resources carrying capacity in arid inland river basin,discusses the relationships of each subsystem,analyzes and protracts four flow charts including water resources, industry, agriculture and population, and explains the feedback relationships of different variables within the system, which are helpful for confirming the optimizing strategy and mode of water resources sustainable utilization by computer simulation,and the purpose is to supply decision-making basis and theoretical guidance for water resources exploitation and utilization, socio-economic development and ecologic environment protection and programming.
SD model water resources carrying capacity system dynamics method arid inland river basin.
Lihong Meng Yaning Chen
Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography Chines Academy science,Urumqi, China
国际会议
2007 Conference on Systems Science, Management Science and System Dynamics(第二届系统科学、管理科学与系统动力学国际会议)
上海
英文
1587-1592
2007-10-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）