Medium-long Term Power Load Forecasting Based on System Dynamics Model

摘要：

A system dynamics method is applied in the medium-long term power load forecasting,and the established model is able to give an overall consideration to all factors affecting power load. It can be adopted in medium-long term load forecasting, and it needs only a little data information and can simulate forecasting by the whole system. This forecasting method can be more intellectualized and systematic. The result indicates that the forecast outcome is more real, and more closely to reality, it can also simulate each variable in the whole system.

关键词： System dynamics Medium-long term load forecasting Power system.

作者: Yuansheng Huang Qingchao Liu Zilong Qiu

作者单位: Department of Economy and Management North China Electronic Power University Baoding, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2007 Conference on Systems Science, Management Science and System Dynamics(第二届系统科学、管理科学与系统动力学国际会议)

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 815-822

在线出版日期: 2007-10-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）