Construction of Early-warning System of National Energy Security Based on CAS Theory

摘要：

As a part of social economy system,national energy security system obviously has characteristics of multitudinous influence factor,strong relationship between variables and existing mutual game phenomena. Complex adaptive system theory provides a new mentality and points out a new direction for the people to analyze this kind of question. On the base of appraising theory of complex adaptive system,this complex system of national energy security has been analyzed from the perspective of complex adaptive system. After analyzing the implication and characteristic of national energy security early-warning, the paper has proposed to simulate the actual movement situation of national energy system utilizing modeling method of complex adaptive system, and has introduced this simulation activity in the early-warning research of national energy security,then has established the framework of early-warning system of national energy security based on complex adaptive system. Finally the further research work has been pointed out.

关键词： Complex Adaptive System National Energy Security Early-warning System System Framework

作者: Shuqiong Fang Baoan Yang Yin Yu

作者单位: Glorious-Sun School of Business and Management, Donghua University,Shanghai, P.R.China Glorious-Sun School of Business and Management, Donghua University, Shanghai, P.R.China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2007 Conference on Systems Science, Management Science and System Dynamics(第二届系统科学、管理科学与系统动力学国际会议)

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 413-420

在线出版日期: 2007-10-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）