System Dynamics Model of Beijings Commercial Housing Market and Its Price Analysis

摘要：

With the system dynamics theories and techniques, firstiy the system dynamics model of Beijings commercial housing market is estimated on the bases of analyzing relative statistical data from 1993 to 2006. The model include five subsystems, and they are demand subsystem, supply subsystem, price subsystem, saving-investment subsystem, and population subsystem, and then the authenticity and validity of model are tested. Secondly,the price trend of Beijings commercial housing market and ratio of demand and supply are analysed on empirical results of emulational output graphs. Finallyprice ofBeijing commercial housing market is analysed and some suggestions are put forward in order to improve Beijing commercial housing market and decrease its price fluctuation.

关键词： System dynamics model Beijing commercial housing market Price analysis Suggestion

作者: Xianling Liao Shutian Wei

作者单位: Associate Professor, School of Resource Engineering China University of Mining and Technology Beijin PhD. Candidate, College of Management Shandong University of Science and Technology Qingdao, Shandon

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2007 Conference on Systems Science, Management Science and System Dynamics(第二届系统科学、管理科学与系统动力学国际会议)

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 1289-1294

在线出版日期: 2007-10-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）