ResilUS -- MODELING COMMUNITY CAPITAL LOSS AND RECOVERY
A resilient community is one that does not experience serious degradation in critical services when an earthquake or other natural hazard occurs and, in the event of degradation or failure, recovers to a similar or better level of service in a reasonable amount of time. Critical services with respect to community resilience are those derived from and required for community capital physical, socio-cultural, human, economic, and ecological capital. If a communitys critical services and capital are not resilient in the face of a severe economic or natural disturbance, the result will likely be disaster and serious impairment of personal livelihoods. The most efficient means of making a community resilient is to make its critical services and capital robust minimize damage/loss probability or the consequences from damage/loss through mitigation. If a communitys critical services and capital are not robust,efforts must be put into recovery. Based on the measurable aspects of community capital, we have developed a simulation model called ResilUS that operationalizes community resilience across multiple, hierarchical scales--household/business, neighborhood, and community--in relation to a range of policy and decision variablesassociated with each scale. The first application and calibration study of ResilUS was conducted for the 1994 Northridge earthquake disaster. ResilUS is currently being expanded to better represent socio-cultural, personal, and ecological capital to facilitate modeling the resilience of the Gulf Coast area of Louisiana, USA in association with the 2005 Hurricane Rita disaster.
Resilience loss estimation recovery modeling disasters
S.B. Miles S.E. Chang
Department of Environmental Studies,Western Washington University,Bellingham,WA,USA School of Community and Regional Planning,University of British Columbia,Vancouver,BC,Canada
国际会议
14th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering(第十四届国际地震工程会议)
北京
英文
2008-10-12（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）