Study on Risk Assessment of Investment Project Decision Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

摘要：

Investment project decision is the key to the whole investment,and thus a proper investment decision guarantees the project success. In this paper, a risk assessment index system, including project internal risks, project external risks and project feasibility risks, is presented for investment project decision. Each index weight is determined with Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) method, and the corresponding risk assessment model is established by using the multiple fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. An example is given to illustrate the specific application of the model. Empirical example shows that the model is convenient to calculate with better generality and serviceability. It is an efficient risk assessment method in investment project decision.

关键词： Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Risk Assessment Investment Project Decision AHP

作者: Wang Mengjun Liu Shaobing Yue Pengwei

作者单位: School of Civil and Architectural Engineering, Central South University, Changsha,P.R.China, 410004

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 15th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management(IE&EM2008)(第十五届工业工程与工程管理国际学术会议暨中国机械工程学会第11次工业工程年会)

会议地点: 郑州

会议语种:英文

在线出版日期: 2008-09-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）