The Inventory Probabilistic Risk Analysis of Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chain

摘要：

The bullwhip effect occurs when the fluctuations of demand order are amplified as they move up in the supply chain. It requires a higher inventory level of the upstream suppliers compared to that of downstream suppliers, and may damage the competitiveness of the supply chain. Considering that the occurrence of demand orders follow a random distribution, this article presents a random model of probability to forecast the higher risk of the inventory. Countermeasures are suggested to reduce the bullwhip effect on the basis of the analysis of its reasons.

关键词： Supply Chain Bullwhip Effect Inventory Level Probabilistic Risk Analysis

作者: Wang Pan

作者单位: School of Project Management, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, P.R.China, 450001

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 15th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management(IE&EM2008)(第十五届工业工程与工程管理国际学术会议暨中国机械工程学会第11次工业工程年会)

会议地点: 郑州

会议语种:英文

在线出版日期: 2008-09-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）