Simulation for the Evolvement of Real Estate Bubble Based on Analysis of Strategic Behaviour
In the perspective of societal-techno system,a multi-actors network is composed by non-equilibrium market of real estate and its participant organizations.In this network,the non-equilibrium in market of real estate provides the profit space for various interest groups,and the broad grey interspaces between rational and legislation in the networks provides the room for the strategic behavior,the strategic behavior which responds for the profit space is the major inducement to the real estate bubble.Based on above analysis,this paper first measuring the profit space which as the initial condition of the system evolvement and the strategic behavior room of the networks,then research the interactive rule of strategic behavior which as the evolvement rule,and then the design of simulation is given,at last,the sensitivity analysis that real estate bubble to the profit space and the route of risk magnifying are given after simulation.
real estate foaming multi-actors network strategic behavior profit space
MA Yongchi XI Bao Li Ping Huang Qiuguo MA Shiyong
Department of Construction and Real Estate,Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China Department of Construction and Real Estate, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China Department of mathematics, Harbin Normal university,Harbin, China
国际会议
2006 International Conferncen on Construction & Real Estate Management(2006建筑与房地产管理国际会议)
美国奥兰多
英文
1557-1562
2006-10-05（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）