Application of Linear Regression Forecast to the Behavior Risk Management of Highway Enterprise
Highway enterprise faces many risk factors in the process of its operation,in which non-system risks have something to do with the operators behaviors,and many behavior factors will cause the company great risk loss.Its one of the important works for highway enterprise to forecast the risk level in the future by using forecast models.In the point views of operational behaviors to highway users,management behaviors of highway maintenance,management behaviors of enterprise itself and management behaviors of road government,this paper carry out forecasting the operational risk of highway enterprise.Firstly,designing a related index system of risk behaviors and giving coefficients to the indexes with analytic hierarchy process,meanwhile,calculating methods are given for each index,based on these,this paper put forward a method for calculating the total risk degree of all the behavior factors,at last,combining case analysis,linear regression forecast model is applied to forecast behavior risk for the operation of highway.
highway behavior risk risk forecast linear regression
CHEN Yun NIE Bo WU Zhuqing
Department of Transportation,Changsha University of Science and Technology,P.R.china,410076
国际会议
2006 International Conferncen on Construction & Real Estate Management(2006建筑与房地产管理国际会议)
美国奥兰多
英文
960-963
2006-10-05（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）