APPLICATION OF BAYESIAN NETWORKS IN THE RISK DECISION OF MINING INVESTMENT

摘要：

Aiming at dynamic character that the risk factors changed with the updating information in the process of assessing mining investment risk, this paper analyzed the disadvantages of the traditional methods, introduced the Bayesian networks method. The basic concept and properties of Bayesian networks was discussed. This paper also combined the risk decision theory with the Bayesian networks and used the combination in the mining investment risk decision analysis. This paper also built the risk decision model in the area of mining investment based on Bayesian networks. At last, we used an example to demonstrate the effect of this method, which provided a new idea for decision analyst of mining investment.

关键词： risk decision Bayesian networks mining investment

作者: Liu Wensheng Zeng Fengzhang

作者单位: Beijing institute of technology, economic and management school, Beijing, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2007年技术创新、风险管理暨供应链管理国际研讨会

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

在线出版日期: 2007-11-01（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）