The Application and Prospect of Risk Analysis in flood in the Past 25 Years
Flood risk analysis is the foundation of implementing the non-engineering measures. System risk is defined in this paper. The flood risk analysis methods have shown a progress from DI method, MC method, MFOSM method and SO method, to AFOSM method and JC method. And the use of risk analysis in flood in the past 25 years is also reviewed. Four expectations are put forward: (1) To make the connotation clearly and unified; (2) To carry out risk of risk analysis; (3) To apply the entropy theory; (4) To advance the basic theory and methods like fuzzy information optimization technology.
flood risk analysis flood protection progress expectation
Dong Wang Jichun Wu Qingping Zhu
Department of Hydrosciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China China Water International Engineering Consulting Co. Ltd, Beijing, 100053, China
国际会议
The 1st International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response(首届风险分析与危机反应国际学术研讨会)
上海
英文
521-526
2007-09-25（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）