Multivariable Stochastic Simulation of Design Flood in the Three Gorges Project

摘要：

This paper predicts the four-variant joint probabilities of the flood on different combination of four Yangtze tributaries by using stochastic simulation technique The significant difference on design flood volume at the Three Gorges proves the necessity of risk analysis by applying present stochastic simulation technique and the traditional Pearson-Type 3 model.

关键词： Multivariable joint probability Design flood Stochastic simulation technique

作者: Botao Xie Defu Liu Liang Pang Yijun Lu

作者单位: Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China 266003 Liaocheng Water Resources Bureau, Liaocheng, China 252000

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 1st International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response(首届风险分析与危机反应国际学术研讨会)

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 527-532

在线出版日期: 2007-09-25（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）