The Risk Analysis of Grassland Fire Disasters Based on Historical data in Northern China

摘要：

Using the historical data of grassland fire disasters in Northern China, we have obtained the law of grassland fire disaster spatiotemporal distribution through statistical methods and calculated the probability value of grassland fire in different risk levels in the provinces of Northern China by employing information diffusion. After research, we got the grassland fire disasters distribution law, the probability value of annual grassland fire disaster as well as burned area ratio under various risk levels. It can provide an advantageous basis for fire fighting department to make an emergency plan and strategic decision to reduce the grassland fire disasters.

关键词： distribution information diffusion grassland fire disaster risk analysis

作者: Liu Xingpeng Zhang Jiquan

作者单位: College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Natural Disaster Research Institute, Northeast Normal University, Changchun, 130024

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 1st International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response(首届风险分析与危机反应国际学术研讨会)

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 594-599

在线出版日期: 2007-09-25（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）