Maritime Traffic Environment Risk Analysis Based on Geographical Distribution

摘要：

The traditional risk analysis approach for marine traffic environment evaluates the risk level through considering the study area as a whole. Marine traffic environment risk analysis based on geographical distribution divides the study area into a number of cell units according to a certain criterion, with a combination of historical data, mathematical models and consultation of the experts, for assessing the possibility of ship collision and grounding for each unit. Its outcome highlights the high-risk regions in the form of geographical distribution. Compared with traditional risk analysis methods, this theory may demonstrate the risk state of the study area more fully and accurately in order to give a strong support for adopting and implementing the risk control measures.

关键词： risk analysis geographical distribution marine traffic ship collision grounding

作者: Xuhong Tang Yaotian Fan Cunqiang Cai

作者单位: Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 200135, China Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063, China 2 the line

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 1st International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response(首届风险分析与危机反应国际学术研讨会)

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 663-668

在线出版日期: 2007-09-25（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）