Risk Evaluation of Fairway Traffic Environment Using Uncertainty AHP

摘要：

Presented and discussed in this paper is the application of uncertainty AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) in risk evaluation of fairway traffic environment in which the evaluation factors are inherently complicated, fuzzy and uncertain. Interval number rather than a specific value is introduced to judge the weightiness between two factors. Interval judgment matrix is constructed and probability distribution method is utilized to investigate the ordering of chief combination weight of target layer based on factors of the lowest layer. The method showed practicability by good results which reflect the actual condition of fairway traffic.

关键词： fairway risk evaluation analytic hierarchy process interval judgment matrix

作者: WANG Ze-sheng JIN Yong-xing ZHU Zhong-hua

作者单位: Zhenjiang Watercraft College of PLA, Zhenjiang 212003, China Merchant Marine College, Shanghai Marit Merchant Marine College, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 200135, China Zhenjiang Watercraft College of PLA, Zhenjiang 212003, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 1st International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response(首届风险分析与危机反应国际学术研讨会)

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 738-741

在线出版日期: 2007-09-25（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）