The Application of Time Series Model in Researching of Typical Social Security Incident

摘要：

Social Safety is one of the four parts of Public Safety, and the social security incident is one of key factors which influence the social stability and development of our country. It is significant to research on the social security incident. This paper introduces the time series analysis method in the Social Safety research, forecasting the evolution and trend of the social security incident, and giving the help for the government to prepare and control the occurrence of the incidents.

关键词： social security incident time series model forecast

作者: Jiang Bo Shen Shi-Fei Shu Xue-Ming Zheng Kui Zhang Da-Peng

作者单位: Department of Engineering Physics, Center for Public Safety Research. Tsinghua University, Beijing 1 State Key Laboratory of Fire Science, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, C School of geodesy and geomatics, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 1st International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response(首届风险分析与危机反应国际学术研讨会)

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 812-815

在线出版日期: 2007-09-25（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）