The research of hierarchical risk element transmission theory base on fuzzy extended AHP

摘要：

Hierarchical risk element transmission theory is one of the main aspects of the risk element transmission theory. The traditional AHP models are usually based on the precise data;however,the attributes of the actual indexes are usually uncertain when risk factors are considered. In order to solve the problem of multi-criterion objective decision upon uncertain indexes attributes when the risk factors are considered,this paper uses triangle fuzzy numbers to instead 1-9 of traditional AHP to decide the priorities of different attributes,and the hierarchical risk element transmission resolution model is constructed. Then the hierarchical analysis derivation is conducted based on every index considering risk element probability distribution,and further the probability distribution of the total objective evaluation score is calculated,which makes the evaluating scores providing more complete information to the decision makers.

关键词： risk element multi-criterion decision AHP risk element transmission

作者: Cunbin LI Jianjun WANG

作者单位: Institute of Business Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing,102206,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The First International Conference on Management Innovation(ICMI 2007)(管理创新会议)

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 129-133

在线出版日期: 2007-06-04（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）