DYNAMIC EVOLUTION OF MAJOR ACCIDENTS——CONCEPTS AND RUDIMENTS

摘要：

To further research on the generative and evolutionary machine of major accidents, on the base of comparative studies of typical major, special major accidents, the paper applied theory of system dynamics to analyze dynamic characteristics of inoculation, generation, development and qualitative change of major accidents, explore behavioral process and main influencing factors of major accidents and probe into governing rules of closed loop feedback system of major accidents. The author proposed to apply theory and methodology of system dynamics to establish a decision-making laboratory to elevate risk control ability of major accidents.

作者: LIU Tiemin

作者单位: China Academy of Safety Science and Technology

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 第九届工程结构完整性国际会议(The Ninth International Conference on Engineering Structural Integrity Assessment)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

在线出版日期: 2007-10-15（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）