FUZZY FAULT TREE ANALYSIS METHOD FOR THE THIRD-PARTY DAMAGE OF HANGZHOU BAY OFFSHORE PIPELINE
By means of fault tree analysis method, a systemic analysis on the relevant factors of the third-party damage of Hangzhou Bay offshore pipeline was given in this paper, and its fault tree is also established. The fault tree include 30 minimum cut sets, the failure probability of the top event can be calculated, and the importance of the basic events can be analyzed. Expert inquiry method, combined with fuzzy sets theory, is adopted to assess the failure probability of the basic events. The calculating of ‘self-buried effect bad’─ one of the basic events of the third-party damage of Hangzhou Bay offshore pipeline, is given as an example of this method.
Wang Qian Zhao Jianping
Nanjing University of Technology, No.5 XinMoFan Road, Nanjing, 210009.
国际会议
第九届工程结构完整性国际会议(The Ninth International Conference on Engineering Structural Integrity Assessment)
北京
英文
2007-10-15(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)