Forecast of Thunderstorms with the Help of Numerical Model and Assessment of its Reliability

摘要：

Forecast of thunderstorms is important for many branches of industry and especially to aviation. A method to predict lightning and main characteristics of Cb with the help of 1.5 dimensional time dependent numerical cloud model was developed in Main Geophysical Observatory. The forecast is made for the current date using rawisonde data. The model predicts vertical Cu depth, vertical velocity, LWC, IWC, intensity of precipitation, visibility, turbulence and other characteristics. Prediction of lightning is among these characteristics. Results of the testing has shown high reliability of the model.

作者: Julia Dovgaluk Terrence Krauss Lenina Pivovarova Andrey Sinkevich Vladimir Stepanenko Nikolai Veremei

作者单位: Cloud Physics, Cloud Seeding and Solar Radiation Studies Department, A.I.Voeikov Main Geophysical Ob Weather Modification Inc, Fargo, ND, 58102, USA

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 第13届国际大气电学会议(The 13th International Conference on Atmospheric Electricity)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

在线出版日期: 2007-08-13（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）