Risk Assessment on Limit Water Level Based on Flood Forecast and Wind Wave
This paper carries out stochastic analysis and overtoping risk assessment on limit water level in flood season by using the first order second moment method and theoretic distribution to describe stochastic distribution of parameters, considering stochastic process of flood forecast and wind wave with fix frequency to combine them. The outcomes of case calculation show that an important the increased height of water level mostly comes from flood, over- flood level causes overtopping easily, and wind waves can increases overtopping risk obviously at critical water level when it is sensitive.
limit water level flood forecast wind wave stochastic analysis overtopping risk
Zhang Tao Wang Xiangsan Luo Wensheng
School of Water Resource and Hydropower, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China
国际会议
山东东营
英文
319-327
2007-10-16（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）