A Patent Race in a Real Options Setting: Investment Strategy, Valuation, CAPM Beta and Return Volatility
This paper studies financial properties of venture-capital backed start-ups through a continuous-time real-options patent-race model. Numerical analysis shows that patent races, relative to a joint monopoly, cause over-investment, value-dissipation, a higher CAPM beta, a higher return volatility and more negative return correlation when firms intensively compete. A firm’s CAPM beta is a complicated non-linear function of its position relative to its competitor. The magnitude of annualized return volatilities of start-ups can be in excess of 100%. This high level of return volatility is mainly attributed to technological risks and is consistent with empirical findings by Cochrane 2004.
Rujing Meng
University of Hong Kong
国际会议
昆明
英文
2005-07-05(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)