SHORT-TERM PREDICTION OF WEATHER PARAMETERS USING ONLINE WEATHER FORECASTS
While people need to know tomorrows weather todecide suitable activities and precautions, so do the“intelligent building management systems. Theaccuracy of the short-term prediction of the ambientconditions is particularly import for the developmentof predictive control strategies. Although the short-termprediction methods for outside air temperaturehave been extensively studied, reliable predictionmethods for solar radiation are yet to be established.This paper discusses the possibility of usingmeteorological forecast data with local observationdata for short-term prediction of the ambientconditions. Based on the analysis of the collecteddata, a new method has been developed fortemperature and solar radiation prediction. It isfound that a linear combination of the observationand the forecast data can effectively improve theaccuracy of short-term (24 hours) prediction. Themethod is also suitable for the prediction ofhumidity and wind speed/direction.
short-term prediction weather forecast control temperature solar radiation wind humidity
Yi Zhang Vic I.Hanby
Institute of Energy and Sustainable Development, De Montfort University, The Gateway, Leicester, LE1 9BH, United Kingdom
国际会议
北京
英文
2007-09-03（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）