SYSTEM DYNAMICS ANALYSIS ON ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT DEMANDS OF AIR CONDITIONING IN CIVIL BUILDINGS IN SHANGHAI
Shanghai has no its own energy resources and has to obtain from other provinces, cities and countries. Along with people’s living standard and economic developing rapidly, the total energy consumption amount grows and energy situation becomes very tense and severe in Shanghai year by year. So increase of energy demand of civil air-conditioning and the following environment demand should be paid attention to in the future.This paper builds system dynamics models and makes three scenarios to analyze energy and environment demand of civil air-conditioning in Shanghai in the next 15 years. Both residential air conditioner and air-conditioning system in commercial buildings are considered. Results show that if Shanghai develops according to the mode of Scenario A, it would encounter very severe energy crisis in the future, even baffle socio-economic development. But if according to the mode of Scenario C, it would reach the planning goal of Shanghai and realize the sustainable development of energy and environment smoothly.
W.BAI W.D.LONG Z.Y.LIU
Research Institute of Tongji University, 1239＃, Siping Road, Shanghai,Shanghai, 200092, P.R.China
国际会议
The 22nd International Congress of Refrigeration(第22届国际制冷大会)
北京
英文
2007-08-21（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）