Empirical Research on the Industrialization Potential Evaluation of Emerging Technologies Based on ANP
Due to uncertainties and complexities give birth to the future of emerging technologies, conventional methods for technology evaluation are subjected to many drawbacks and limitations. Even though we can divide a complex system into subsystems, the relative weights of the subsystems are also a crucial problem, because of these subsystems usually exist interdependence and feedback. This paper discusses the industrialization potential evaluation system based on Delphi survey, and evaluates the industrialization potential of emerging technologies using the analytic network process (ANP). The overall framework and detailed procedure of the proposed method are presented and an empirical study on the industrialization potential evaluation of four kinds of electric automobile emerging technologies is adopted to illustrate the practical application.
Emerging technologies industrialization potential, ANP SuperDecisions software
WANG Jiwu HUANG Lucheng LU Wenguang
School of Economics &Management, Harbin Engineering University. Harbin, Hei Longjiang,China School of Economics &management, Beijng University of Technology. Beijing, China
国际会议
The Fifth InternationalSymposium on Management of Technology(ISMOT07)(第五届技术与创新管理国际研讨会)
杭州
英文
1700-1703
2007-06-01（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）