Study on the Forecast Model of Road Traffic Accident with Gray Theory

摘要：

　　Road traffic accident forecast is one key matter in traffic safety control work.In order to successfully complete traffic safety control work, we must look for a timely and accurately road traffic accident forecast method.Based on the gray character of road traffic accident, an one--step and single--variable traffic accident forecast model is set up with the Gray Theory.Finally, an illustrative example is given to clarify the model.It can be used for forecasting the traffic accident”s statistical guideline.The example shows that the way is feasible, simple and practical.

关键词： traffic accident gray system forecast model

作者: Haiyang YU Wentao HAN

作者单位: Department of Equipment and Transportation,Engineering College of CAPF,Xi ”an,China

会议类型: 国内会议

会议名称: Thirteenth Chinese Conference,SSTA 2011(第十三届中国系统仿真技术及其应用学术会议)

会议地点: 黄山

会议语种:英文

页码: 1112-1114

在线出版日期: 2011-08-03（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）