The Analysis of Electricity Demand Forecasting and Electricity Supply and Demand Balance Based on System Dynamics

摘要：

　　With the rapid development of power industry,the analysis of electricity demand forecasting and the balance of electricity supply and demand are playing a more and more important role,this paper use the system dynamics to establish the model of the electricity demand forecasting and the balance of electricity supply and demand.Among them,the electricity demand forecasting model is a feedback system which considers economic value,price changes,electricity demand changes and so on.Meanwhile,the power supply and demand balance model is a system which consists of the power supply and the power demand.Through the analysis of all this factors,this paper hopes to clarify the relationship between electricity supply and demand and make the electricity demand forecasting more reasonable.

关键词： System dynamics Demand forecasting Electricity supply and demand

作者: Yun-Peng ZHENG Ji-Xiang ZHANG Yong-Xiu HE

作者单位: Gansu electric power company,Gansu,PRC North China Electric Power University,Changping District,Beijing,PRC

会议类型: 国内会议

会议名称: 2014年国际计算机科学与软件工程学术会议

会议地点: 杭州

会议语种:英文

页码: 1-6

在线出版日期: 2014-10-18（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）