会议专题

Per Capita Medical Expenses Study Based on Fuzzy Polynomial

  The growth in medical expenses leads a lot of pressure to the sustainable development of the health insurance industry in China.Firstly,China”s per capita medical expenses are expressed as triangular fuzzy numbers; then fitting parameters with fuzzy least square method.It provides a new way of thinking and methods to study and forecast medical expenses of per capita Medical costs in China.Conventional regression analysis gives the correlation coefficient confidence intervals,reflecting the estimated coefficient for the degree of certainty.Fuzzy regression relationship analyze two functions: one is function of the central value of observed data,the other is the functional of the spread of observed data,and we have on the results of per capita medial expenses.Fuzzy regression analysis is based on the close degree of two Fuzzy sets,it reflects the degree of certainty level between the observed data and the fitting data.

Fuzzy Polynomial Medical Expenses health insurance

KOU Yefu Li Jia WANG Yunbo

China Institute for Actuarial Science,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing,China,1000 School of Insurance,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing,China,100081

国内会议

2011中国保险与风险管理国际年会

北京

英文

176-181

2011-07-24(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)