Grey-stochastic Analysis Method and Its Application to the Failure Risk of Ill Reservoir
Aimed at the quantitative analysis for the run risk of ill reservoir, a evaluation method based on grey-stochastic risk analysis and its engineering application was put for-ward. According to the disposal of regarding the complicated uncertainty relationship in the run of ill reservoir as a grey-stochastic complex uncertainty, the analysis method of grey-sto-chastic risk probability was set up. By ascertaining the functional function, the grey-stochas-tic risk probability was transformed into commonly stochastic risk probability. Finally, the amended first-order second-moment method was utilized to calculate quantitatively the failure risk of reservoir and the risk value obtained falls in a grey space, which satisfactorily reflects the uncertainty of the run risk of reservoir.
Grey randomicity risk analysis reservoir
Hu Dexiu Yang Jie Zhou Xiaode Mi Yanfang
Institute of Water Resources &.Electricity, Xian University of Technology, Xian 710048, China Institute of Water Resources &.Electricity, Xian University of Technology, Xian 710048, China Stat
国际会议
International Conference on Dam Safety Management(2008水库大坝安全管理国际研讨会)
南京
英文
301-306
2008-10-22（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）