Fault Forecasting of Missile Equipment Based on Improved UGM (1,m,w) Model

摘要：

　　Fault forecasting is very important to establish accurate maintenance support plan,reduce maintenance support cost,improve operational readiness rate and mission dependability rate,even avoid the huge loss for missile equipment;To resolve the problem of new-style missile equipment fault forecasting difficultly,which is induced by the complexity of system compose,fuzziness of configuration connection and incompleteness and uncertainty of character parameters,the paper put forward a new multi-variables metabolism unequal interval weight grey forecasting model (MUGM (1,m,w)) by combining the background value weight and metabolism idea.Finally the example results proved the MUGM (1,m,w) model have better forecast precision.

关键词： fault forecasting missile equipment grey forecasting model multi-variables metabolism unequal interval weight grey model

作者: Tingxue Xu Jianzhong Zhao Yong Liu Jikun Yang

作者单位: Department of Ordnance Science and Technology Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University Yantai Graduate Students Brigade Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University Yantai, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2012 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering & The 3rd International Conference on Maintenance Engineering (2012质量,可靠性,风险,维修性及安全性工程国际会议(QR2MSE 2012 & ICME 2012))

会议地点: 成都

会议语种:英文

页码: 746-749

在线出版日期: 2012-06-15（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）