会议专题

Does Demographic Change Hamper the Economic Growth of China? -Based on SYS-GMM

This paper examines the impact of demographic change economic growth by using a panel dataset consist of 29 provinces in China over a 20 year period. Different economic indicators are introduced into the traditional growth regression framework that are estimated using the system-generalized method SYS-GMM. The model show that the old dependency ratio has a significant positive effect on growth. The population growth rate has no effect on economic growth. The working age population rate has positive effect on growth rates but the coefficients associated with the estimates are insignificant. The findings are robust after controlling for other institutional and demographic variables.

demographic change economic growth SYS-GMM China

LI Xing SHI Hongwei

School of International Economics and Business, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics,Nanjing, P.R.China, 210046

国际会议

The 3rd International Institute of Statistics & Management Engineering Symposium(2010 国际统计与管理工程研讨会 IISMES)

威海

英文

634-641

2010-07-24(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)